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Results Overview.
FBCH group recorded an outstanding pre tax profit of $6m for the full year ended December 31, 2009. The commendable performance came on the back of a near nil/zero position following the impairment of the group’s financial assets at adoption of multi-currency in January 2009.
Adoption of multi-currency at the beginning of the year brought its own new challenges that inter-alia included severe liquidity constraints in the economy, a dysfunctional inter-bank market, absence of the lender of last resort and limited access to international lines of credit. During the course of the year, the group through the bank acquired 59% of ZSE listed Turnall Holdings following realization of collateral on a non-performing debt. The entity contributed significantly to the group’s bottom line.
Total income amounted to $30.4m, the main flagship (Bank), contributing 44% at $13.5m. Net interest income amounted to $5.3m with net fees and commissions coming in at a modest $3.6m. Other non-funded income totaled $21.6m. The group’s cost to income ratio remained in the high at 80%, signifying cost pressures against constrained business activity particularly during the first half year. Segment contribution towards operating profit before tax was as follows; Bank $1.2m, Re-insurance $665 000, Turnall $1m, the Building society and Stock-broking providing just about $60000.00. Total Profit after tax was $5.2m translating to an EPS of 1.3c per share. During the course of year the bank fell prey to a spat of robberies and fraud that hit the country and consequently lost $1.4m which has since been accounted for in the group’s results, however recovery of the lost funds is estimated at $1.1m. Capital adequacy ratio for the Bank stood at 35%, while the building society was at 95% signifying enormous margin to sweat the assets.
The banks’ total deposits were $95m claiming 7.4% of total market share and had heaved by an astonishing 68% for the three months to March 2010, with over 70000 active accounts. Advances to clients summed up to $22m, a conservative loans to deposit ratio of 23%. Total assets and shareholders’ funds continued to grow from $76.9m and $28.2m at half year to $164m and $49.8m respectively at full year. Net asset value as at December 31, 2009 was 10.4c.
In the outlook the group expects to contain expenditure/costs growth through promotion of e-commerce. The recently witnessed growth in deposits is expected to cascade into an increase in advances to customers, and a subsequent increase in interest income for year 2010. Afreximbank has extended a $15m line of credit, which is expected to be advanced to industry for re-tooling and increasing capacity utilization. The Re-insurance and the Building society are set to be re-capitalized soon as the two entities seek to underwrite greater business and venture full time into foreign business and actively partake in the recently re-introduced 10 year mortgage finance respectively. All the group’s subsidiaries remain adequately capitalized and in compliance with regulatory requirements.
Value and Recommendation. The financial group performed slightly below
expectations, despite posting a profit. However, their product mix should
make them significant profits in 2010. Expenses are expected to be cut by
25% as they slowly implement their strategy to shift into a more automated
banking system, but expect revenues to grow, by at least 10% from
increased lending activities. This should bring their revenues to $33m, PBT to
$10,4m and PAT to $6,5m. Applying a PER of 10,2x discounted by 40% to
6,1x, we get a value of $47,8m (13c per share). FBC has managed to
smoothly convert to the USD era and has made good strategic alliances with
organizations such as NSSA (who own 40% of the building society and 22% in
the group) to put them in a strong enough position to realize value on most
of their projects. We believe the market will slowly grow its confidence in
them, pushing the price up by at least 100% in 2010. BUY. |