Colcom released a brilliant set of results, posting a profit of
1,34c per share and declaring an interim dividend of 0,44c
per share in the process. After increasing overall volumes by
42%, they increased their h/h sales by 34% to turn over
$20,9m. From pre-tax margins of 15%, they made a pre-tax
profit of $3,2m. Colcom incurred a tax of $798,209 and
posted $2,4m as attributable earnings (basic eps of 1,34c).
Their balance sheet improved from $25,1m to $28,6m with
NAV rising from $19,3m to $21,4m. They increased their
inventory levels by 74% as they accumulated cheap stock
feeds. However, this did not pull their cash flows too low as
they closed the period cash positive at $2,9m. This led them
to declare the interim dividend of 0,45c per share. CAPEX for
the period was $414,672 and short term borrowings stood at
$1,5m at an average cost of 12% p.a.
Operational Review
Improved supply and quality of stock feed as well as
improved demand resulted in a 44% increase in pig
output, which led to higher throughput into the
processing factory to 700T/month for pork and 120T for
beef.
Pie volumes also grew 40% as the division reached 100%
capacity as new equipment was installed in the half.
Margins were squeezed from 32% to 28% as they had to
do some overtime to operate at 100% capacity. This has
since been rectified as they are now operating normal
hours, still at 100% capacity.
Associated meat Packers saw a 30% increase in volumes
to 120T.
Outlook
The group continues to look forward to positive growth as
local income levels improve. Their aim remains to maintain
their neo-monopoly status in the local pork industry.
To become any more efficient, they acknowledge their
need to invest in new technology and replace some aged
equipment. So far, they have invested $500k to new
software as well as mechanization of some operations
and should cut system leakages to the bottom line by 2%.
As the factory is 40 years old, there are so many changes
that will need to be implemented, but at this stage
demand does not prompt the need to take such steps.
Value and Recommendation
Assuming their H2 results mirror their H1 results, they
should turn over $41,9m ($2,1m higher than their prior
forecasts of $39m). at similar margins, they should make
an EBITDA of $7,2m and post earnings of $4,7m for the
year. This implies a forward PER of 9,4x. Applying the
average EV/EBITDA of 7,9x, we get a value of $56,7m
(35,7c per share). Considering they are declaring a
dividend at an hour where most businesses are still
struggling to survive, we maintain our BUY
recommendation on them.